Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.303379 0.361031 0.430812 0.522827 0.643020 7.976885e-01 1.016914
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.218708 0.285802 0.378474 0.521029 0.745162 1.104603e+00 1.775582
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.169008 0.235269 0.335619 0.508735 0.824618 1.439964e+00 2.955334
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.143223 0.209849 0.318765 0.526450 0.961849 1.995910e+00 5.517864
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.120573 0.183032 0.290798 0.511990 1.028544 2.478647e+00 9.259316
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.106825 0.167529 0.277681 0.520439 1.152947 3.286161e+00 18.315326
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.094592 0.152092 0.260598 0.513746 1.236663 4.115540e+00 35.934861
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.086727 0.143012 0.253574 0.527462 1.392554 5.592345e+00 98.001344
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.080943 0.136753 0.250752 0.550628 1.603369 8.024982e+00 462.988476
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.075477 0.130185 0.245766 0.566408 1.807897 1.138269e+01 7087.567826
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071011 0.124906 0.242508 0.586235 2.057764 1.690698e+01 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.066680 0.119270 0.237269 0.598419 2.294581 2.492884e+01 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062534 0.113597 0.231185 0.607195 2.542871 3.793429e+01 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.058357 0.107363 0.222660 0.605191 2.738964 5.620404e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054139 0.100551 0.211528 0.590259 2.841026 7.763357e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051805 0.097663 0.210157 0.611905 3.266339 1.578439e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048314 0.091760 0.199714 0.594259 3.350919 2.326863e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.046108 0.088588 0.196281 0.604574 3.731000 5.387371e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.043539 0.084306 0.189073 0.596405 3.925583 1.117536e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.041921 0.082111 0.187507 0.613155 4.465597 6.182519e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040714 0.080776 0.188242 0.641512 5.278287 3.177546e+06 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039352 0.078918 0.187113 0.660876 6.077248 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038181 0.077419 0.186858 0.685259 7.126781 NaN NaN